ISIPTA ’15
20–24 July 2015, Pescara, Italy

Electronic Proceedings

Full proceedings (amended 2015-06-30) — BibTeX file — BibTeX generation scripts

Abstracts of invited talks

A unified model of inductive reasoning: Itzhak Gilboa; [abstract] [slides]
Model uncertainty: Massimo Marinacci; [abstract]
Early approaches to exact imprecision: Peter M. Williams; [abstract]

Abstracts of tutorials

De Finetti coherence and beyond: Barbara Vantaggi; [abstract]
Introduction to the philosophical foundations of imprecise probabilities: Gregory Wheeler; [abstract] [slides]

Papers

The multilabel naive credal classifier: Alessandro Antonucci, Giorgio Corani; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Efficient L1-based probability assessments correction: algorithms and applications to belief merging and revision: Marco Baioletti, Andrea Capotorti; [paper] [slides] [poster]
The geometry of imprecise inference: Miķelis Bickis; [paper] [slides] [poster]
How to choose among choice functions: Seamus Bradley; [paper] [slides] [poster]
The generalization of the conjunctive rule for aggregating contradictory sources of information based on generalized credal sets: Andrey G. Bronevich, Igor N. Rozenberg; [paper] [slides]
Decisions under risk and partial knowledge modelling uncertainty and risk aversion: Giulianella Coletti, Davide Petturiti, Barbara Vantaggi; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Some remarks on sets of lexicographic probabilities and sets of desirable gambles: Fabio Gagliardi Cozman; [paper] [slides] [poster]
On the complexity of propositional and relational credal networks: Fabio Gagliardi Cozman, Denis Deratani Mauá; [paper] [slides] [poster]
A pointwise ergodic theorem for imprecise Markov chains: Gert de Cooman, Jasper De Bock, Stavros Lopatatzidis; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Fully conglomerable coherent upper conditional prevision defined by the Choquet integral with respect to its associated Hausdorff outer measure: Serena Doria; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Coherent conditional measures of risk defined by the Choquet integral with respect to Hausdorff outer measures and dependent risks: Serena Doria; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Imprecise random variables, random sets, and Monte Carlo simulation: Thomas Fetz, Michael Oberguggenberger; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Robust parameter estimation of density functions under fuzzy interval observations: Romain Guillaume, Didier Dubois; [paper]
On two composition operators in Dempster-Shafer theory: Radim Jiroušek; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Common knowledge, ambiguity, and the value of information in games: Hailin Liu; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Calculating bounds on expected return and first passage times in finite-state imprecise birth-death chains: Stavros Lopatatzidis, Jasper De Bock, Gert de Cooman; [paper] [slides] [poster]
A prior near-ignorance Gaussian process model for nonparametric regression: Francesca Mangili; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Conformity and independence with coherent lower previsions: Enrique Miranda, Marco Zaffalon; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Comonotone lower probabilities for bivariate and discrete structures: Ignacio Montes, Sébastien Destercke; [paper] [slides] [poster]
A robust Bayesian analysis of the impact of policy decisions on crop rotations: Lewis Paton, Matthias C. M. Troffaes, Nigel Boatman, Mohamud Hussein; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Dilation, disintegrations, and delayed decisions: Arthur Paul Pedersen, Gregory Wheeler; [paper; amended 2015-06-26] [poster]
Weak consistency for imprecise conditional previsions: Renato Pelessoni, Paolo Vicig; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Statistical modelling under epistemic data imprecision: some results on estimating multinomial distributions and logistic regression for coarse categorical data: Julia Plass, Thomas Augustin, Marco E. G. V. Cattaneo, Georg Schollmeyer; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Statistical modelling in surveys without neglecting the undecided: multinomial logistic regression models and imprecise classification trees under ontic data imprecision: Julia Plass, Paul Fink, Norbert Schöning, Thomas Augustin; [paper] [slides] [poster]
A logic with upper and lower probability operators: Nenad Savić, Dragan Doder, Zoran Ognjanović; [paper] [slides]
On the number and characterization of the extreme points of the core of necessity measures on finite spaces: Georg Schollmeyer; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Using imprecise continuous time Markov chains for assessing the reliability of power networks with common cause failure and non-immediate repair: Matthias C. M. Troffaes, Jacob Gledhill, Damjan Skulj, Simon Blake; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Classification SVM algorithms with interval-valued training data using triangular and Epanechnikov kernels: Lev V. Utkin, Anatoly I. Chekh, Yulia A. Zhuk; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Modelling indifference with choice functions: Arthur Van Camp, Gert de Cooman, Enrique Miranda, Erik Quaeghebeur; [paper] [slides] [poster]
Credal compositional models and credal networks: Jiřina Vejnarovà; [paper] [poster]
On the validity of minimin and minimax methods for support vector regression with interval data: Andrea Wiencierz, Marco E. G. V. Cattaneo; [paper] [slides] [poster]

Poster abstracts

M-estimation with imprecise data: Marco E. G. V. Cattaneo; [abstract] [poster]
An idea of consonant conflicts between belief functions: Milan Daniel; [abstract] [slides] [poster]
Convergence of continuous-time imprecise Markov chains: Jasper De Bock; [abstract] [poster]
Probabilistic analysis of sutural lines developed in ammonites. An example: lower Jurassic Hammatocerataceae: Andrea Di Cencio, Serena Doria; [abstract] [slides] [poster]
Bayesian updating based on Hausdorff outer measures and the role of emotions during the therapeutic phase of alliance: Serena Doria, Iolanda Angelucci; [abstract] [slides] [poster]
Probabilistic graphical models for statistical matching: Eva Endres, Thomas Augustin; [abstract] [poster]
Optimal control of linear systems with quadratic cost and imprecise forward irrelevant input noise: Alexander Erreygers, Jasper De Bock, Gert de Cooman, Arthur Van Camp; [abstract] [poster]
Decision theory meets linear optimization beyond computation: Christoph Jansen, Thomas Augustin; [abstract] [poster]
Searching for the most plausible partition: an evidential reasoning approach to clustering: Orakanya Kanjanatarakul, Thierry Denoeux; [abstract] [poster]
Computational methods for imprecise continuous-time birth-death processes: a preliminary study of flipping times: Stavros Lopatatzidis, Jasper De Bock, Gert de Cooman; [abstract] [poster]
Bayesian nonparametric tests based on the imprecise Dirichlet process: Francesca Mangili, Alessio Benavoli, Giorgio Corani, Marco Zaffalon; [abstract] [slides] [poster]
Hyperbolic systems with random set coefficients: Jelena Nedeljković, Michael Oberguggenberger; [abstract] [poster]
Partial partial preference order orders: Erik Quaeghebeur; [abstract] [slides] [poster]
Eliciting sets of acceptable gambles — The CWI World Cup competition: Erik Quaeghebeur, Chris Wesseling, Emma Beauxis-Aussalet, Teresa Piovesan, Tom Sterkenburg; [abstract] [slides] [poster]
Radically elementary IP theory based on extensive measurement: Teddy Seidenfeld, Mark J. Schervish, Joseph B. Kadane, Rafael Stern, Jessi Cisewski; [abstract] [slides] [poster]
System reliability estimation under prior-data conflict: Gero Walter, Frank P. A. Coolen, Simme Douwe Flapper; [abstract] [poster]
Updated network analysis of the imprecise probability community based on ISIPTA electronic proceedings: Gero Walter, Christoph Jansen, Thomas Augustin; [abstract] [poster]